Factory workers at Boeing are voting on whether to accept a new offer or to continue a strike that has lasted more than seven weeks and shut down production of most Boeing passenger planes.
A vote to agree the deal would clear the way for the aerospace giant to resume airplane production and bring in some much-needed cash. If members of the International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers vote for a third time to reject Boeing's offer, it would plunge the company into further financial peril and uncertainty.
In its latest proposed contract, Boeing is offering pay raises of 38% over four years, as well as ratification and productivity bonuses. IAM District 751, which represents Boeing workers in the Pacific Northwest, endorsed the proposal, which is slightly more generous than one the machinists voted down nearly two weeks ago.
"It is time for our members to lock in these gains and confidently declare victory," the union district said in scheduling Monday's vote. "We believe asking members to stay on strike longer wouldn’t be right as we have achieved so much success."
Union officials said they thought they had gained all they could though negotiations and a strike, and that if the current proposal is rejected, future offers from Boeing might be worse. They expect to announce the result of the vote Monday night.
Pension return non-negotiable
Boeing has emphatically rejected requests to restore traditional pensions that the company froze nearly a decade ago. Pensions were a key issue for workers who voted down previous offers in September and October.
If machinists ratify the latest offer, they would return to work by 12 November, according to the union.
The strike began on 13 September with an overwhelming 94.6% rejection of Boeing's offer to raise pay by 25% over four years - far less than the union's original demand for 40% wage increases over three years.
Machinists voted against another offer - 35% raises over four years, but still no revival of pensions - on 23 October, the same day Boeing reported a third-quarter loss of more than $6bn (€5.5bn). However, the offer received 36% support, up from 5% for the mid-September proposal, making Boeing leaders believe they were close to a deal.
The strike - the first by Boeing machinists since an eight-week walkout in 2008 - is the latest setback in a volatile year for the company.
Boeing has come under several federal investigations after a door plug blew off a 737 Max plane during an Alaska Airlines flight in January. Federal regulators put limits on Boeing airplane production that they said would last until they felt confident about manufacturing safety at the company.
The door plug incident renewed concerns about the safety of the 737 Max. Two of the planes crashed less than five months apart in 2018 and 2019, killing 346 people.
The CEO whose effort to fix the company failed announced in March that he would step down. In July, Boeing agreed to plead guilty to conspiracy to commit fraud for deceiving regulators who approved the 737 Max.
Boeing insists future looks good
The strike has created a cash crunch by depriving Boeing of money it gets when delivering new planes to airlines. The walkout at Seattle-area factories stopped production of the 737 Max, Boeing's best-selling plane, and the 777 or "triple-seven" jet and the cargo-carrying version of its 767 plane.
New CEO Kelly Ortberg has conceded that trust in Boeing has declined, the company has too much debt, and "serious lapses in our performance" have disappointed many airline customers.
But, he says, the company's strengths include a backlog of airplane orders valued at a half-trillion dollars.